{"id":39284,"date":"2017-09-22T16:03:20","date_gmt":"2017-09-22T20:03:20","guid":{"rendered":"\/non-classifiee\/subtle-hints-smooth-brexit-offer-reassurance-trade-stakeholders\/"},"modified":"2017-10-11T16:44:03","modified_gmt":"2017-10-11T20:44:03","slug":"subtle-hints-smooth-brexit-offer-reassurance-trade-stakeholders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.livingstonintl.com\/fr\/subtle-hints-smooth-brexit-offer-reassurance-trade-stakeholders\/","title":{"rendered":"Les intervenants sur les affaires sont rassur\u00e9s par les \u00e9chos subtils d\u2019un Brexit en douceur"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cet article a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 dans le <\/em><\/strong>Global Trade Magazine<\/em><\/strong><\/a> le 24\u00a0septembre\u00a02017<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>Par Philip Sutter, directeur de l\u2019analyse strat\u00e9gique, Gestion du commerce mondial, Livingston International.<\/em><\/p>\n

Les n\u00e9gociations en cours du Brexit sont une grande source d\u2019incertitude, et par ricochet, de risque commercial pour les entreprises internationales dont les cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement d\u00e9pendent lourdement de l\u2019acc\u00e8s illimit\u00e9 au Royaume-Uni. Cette incertitude se prolongera probablement tout au long des n\u00e9gociations du Brexit, et possiblement lors de la p\u00e9riode de transition qui suivra.<\/p>\n

Mais s\u2019il subsiste un semblant de stabilit\u00e9 dans le Brexit jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce jour, cela a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9vident dans les remarques prononc\u00e9es le 22\u00a0septembre par la premi\u00e8re ministre britannique, Theresa May, lors d\u2019un discours important en Italie. Mme\u00a0May a offert quelques explications li\u00e9es \u00e0 ses attentes sur la fa\u00e7on dont le Brexit pourrait se d\u00e9rouler, peut-\u00eatre dans l\u2019espoir de susciter un \u00e9lan pour les n\u00e9gociations en cours du Brexit ou de rassurer la communaut\u00e9 \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n

Mme\u00a0May a insist\u00e9 sur l\u2019importance d\u2019une p\u00e9riode de mise en \u0153uvre progressive, au lieu de ce qui \u00e9tait appel\u00e9 le \u00ab\u00a0bord du pr\u00e9cipice\u00a0\u00bb. Afin que les citoyens et les entreprises puissent jouir d\u2019une \u00ab\u00a0certitude d\u2019envergure\u00a0\u00bb, la p\u00e9riode de transition doit \u00eatre strictement limit\u00e9e dans le temps et \u00eatre assur\u00e9e de se passer du 29\u00a0mars\u00a02019 au 29\u00a0mars\u00a02021.<\/p>\n

Mme\u00a0May a aussi soulev\u00e9 un point de friction notable, soit que le Royaume-Uni allait couvrir sa portion des co\u00fbts du Brexit, estim\u00e9e \u00e0 un montant de 20\u00a0\u00e0 100\u00a0milliards d\u2019euros. Les intervenants et les observateurs scruteront ce point de friction notable conjointement avec l\u2019EU lors de la prochaine semaine.<\/p>\n

De telles remarques nourrissent l\u2019espoir au sein du secteur des affaires que le maintien de la stabilit\u00e9 demeure l\u2019un des objectifs centraux des n\u00e9gociations du Brexit, tout comme une certaine assurance que le niveau de risque associ\u00e9 aux activit\u00e9s commerciales de l\u2019autre bord de la Manche n\u2019est pas aussi \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu.<\/p>\n

En m\u00eame temps, quelques remarques de Mme\u00a0May \u00e9veillent des inqui\u00e9tudes. Tout en reconnaissant que le pass\u00e9, le pr\u00e9sent et l\u2019avenir du Royaume-Uni sont intimement li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019Europe, elle a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 de mani\u00e8re concise l\u2019essence profonde du Brexit en d\u00e9clarant\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0nous ne nous sommes jamais sentis chez nous dans l\u2019UE\u00a0\u00bb. Il est clair que ces sentiments ne sont pas partag\u00e9s par les nombreuses entreprises poss\u00e9dant des cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement partout au Royaume-Uni et dans le reste de l\u2019UE, car elles devront enti\u00e8rement modifier leurs plans d\u2019affaires.<\/p>\n

Les analystes r\u00e9fl\u00e9chissent \u00e0 l\u2019avenir de la relation entre le Royaume-Uni et l\u2019UE, depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum sur le Brexit en juin\u00a02016. Ce que Mme\u00a0May a mis au clair aujourd\u2019hui, c\u2019est que les relations \u00e0 venir entre l\u2019Angleterre et ses voisins europ\u00e9ens ne ressembleront en rien aux relations entre l\u2019UE et la Norv\u00e8ge, la Suisse, la Turquie et, plus r\u00e9cemment, le Canada. \u00ab\u00a0Nous pouvons faire tellement mieux que cela\u00a0\u00bb, a affirm\u00e9 de mani\u00e8re explicite Mme\u00a0May.<\/p>\n

La premi\u00e8re ministre ne veut pas suivre de mod\u00e8le pr\u00e9existant. Elle d\u00e9sire un nouveau trait\u00e9 UE-RU qui tire parti des principes partag\u00e9s, des normes r\u00e9glementaires \u00e9lev\u00e9es et des relations s\u00e9curitaires d\u00e9j\u00e0 en place, tout en assurant l\u2019autod\u00e9termination du RU sur des points tels que l\u2019immigration, les comp\u00e9tences judiciaires et la politique commerciale.<\/p>\n

M\u00eame si elle insiste sur le fait que les quatre libert\u00e9s fondamentales, soit la libre circulation des personnes, des biens, des services et des capitaux, demeureront indivisibles, elle affirme qu\u2019un tout nouveau cadre est requis. Le RU devra prendre une position sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, soit de convertir les lois de l\u2019UE en lois nationales et aller de l\u2019avant \u00e0 partir de ce point. \u00ab\u00a0Notre vie sera diff\u00e9rente\u00a0\u00bb, a-t-elle affirm\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Lorsqu\u2019on lui a parl\u00e9, \u00e0 la suite de son discours, de la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019un \u00e9chec des n\u00e9gociations du Brexit, elle a r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9 une de ses d\u00e9clarations\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0aucun accord avec l\u2019UE est mieux qu\u2019un mauvais accord\u00a0\u00bb. En d\u2019autres termes, Mme\u00a0May est pr\u00eate \u00e0 imposer \u00e0 l\u2019UE de se pr\u00e9senter aux n\u00e9gociations dot\u00e9e d\u2019une volont\u00e9 de souplesse. Au mois d\u2019octobre, la commission d\u00e9terminera si le progr\u00e8s effectu\u00e9 est suffisant et si les n\u00e9gociations pourront se poursuivre afin de mettre en place le futur cadre de la relation.<\/p>\n

Mme\u00a0May a conclu en affirmant\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0notre avenir est \u00e0 notre port\u00e9e, alors saisissons-le ensemble\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n

La certitude est essentielle du point de vue d\u2019un n\u00e9gociant international. Le Brexit est nuisible aux activit\u00e9s commerciales, car il repr\u00e9sente le changement et le bouleversement. Cependant, si les commentaires de Mme\u00a0May conduisent \u00e0 une transition en douceur, clairement pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e et planifi\u00e9e, le secteur commercial pourra s\u2019adapter et prosp\u00e9rer sous le nouvel accord.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cet article a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 dans le Global Trade Magazine le 24\u00a0septembre\u00a02017 \u00a0Par Philip Sutter, directeur de l\u2019analyse strat\u00e9gique, Gestion du commerce mondial, Livingston International. Les n\u00e9gociations en cours du Brexit sont une grande source d\u2019incertitude, et par ricochet, de risque commercial pour les entreprises internationales dont les cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement d\u00e9pendent lourdement de l\u2019acc\u00e8s illimit\u00e9… Read more »<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":39083,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[182],"class_list":["post-39284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nos-experts-vous-parlent"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLes intervenants sur les affaires sont rassur\u00e9s par les \u00e9chos subtils d\u2019un Brexit en douceur - Livingston International<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The British Prime MInister's speech in Florence hit at the heart of Brexit, but also offered hints of reassurance for those with a stake in European trade.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les intervenants sur les affaires sont rassur\u00e9s par les \u00e9chos subtils d\u2019un Brexit en douceur - 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